Monday, October 18, 2010
50 Biscayne, a luxury condominium in Downtown Miami has reduced prices for a limited time only in all units from studios to 1, 2 and 3 bedroom residences.
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
10 Reasons To Buy a Home
Enough with the doom and gloom about homeownership. Brett Arends explains why owning a home is a good thing.
Enough with the doom and gloom about homeownership.
Sure, maybe there's more pain to come in the housing market. But when Time magazine starts running covers that declare "Owning a home may no longer make economic sense," it's time to say: Enough is enough. This is what "capitulation" looks like. Everyone has given up.
After all, at the peak of the bubble five years ago, Time had a different take. "Home Sweet Home," declared its cover then, as it celebrated the boom and asked: "Will your house make your rich?"
But it's not enough just to be contrarian. So here are 10 reasons why it's good to buy a home.
1. You can get a good deal. Especially if you play hardball. This is a buyer's market. Most of the other buyers have now vanished, as the tax credits on purchases have just expired. We're four to five years into the biggest housing bust in modern history. And prices have come down a long way– about 30% from their peak, according to Standard & Poor's Case-Shiller Index, which tracks home prices in 20 big cities. Yes, it's mixed. New York is only down 20%. Arizona has halved. Will prices fall further? Sure, they could. You'll never catch the bottom. It doesn't really matter so much in the long haul.
Where is fair value? Fund manager Jeremy Grantham at GMO, who predicted the bust with remarkable accuracy, said two years ago that home prices needed to fall another 17% to reach fair value in relation to household incomes. Case-Shiller since then: Down 18%.
2. Mortgages are cheap. You can get a 30-year loan for around 4.3%. What's not to like? These are the lowest rates on record. As recently as two years ago they were about 6.3%. That drop slashes your monthly repayment by a fifth. If inflation picks up, you won't see these mortgage rates again in your lifetime. And if we get deflation, and rates fall further, you can refi.
3. You'll save on taxes. You can deduct the mortgage interest from your income taxes. You can deduct your real estate taxes. And you'll get a tax break on capital gains–if any–when you sell. Sure, you'll need to do your math. You'll only get the income tax break if you itemize your deductions, and many people may be better off taking the standard deduction instead. The breaks are more valuable the more you earn, and the bigger your mortgage. But many people will find that these tax breaks mean owning costs them less, often a lot less, than renting.
4. It'll be yours. You can have the kitchen and bathrooms you want. You can move the walls, build an extension–zoning permitted–or paint everything bright orange. Few landlords are so indulgent; for renters, these types of changes are often impossible. You'll feel better about your own place if you own it than if you rent. Many years ago, when I was working for a political campaign in England, I toured a working-class northern town. Mrs. Thatcher had just begun selling off public housing to the tenants. "You can tell the ones that have been bought," said my local guide. "They've painted the front door. It's the first thing people do when they buy." It was a small sign that said something big.
5. You'll get a better home. In many parts of the country it can be really hard to find a good rental. All the best places are sold as condos. Money talks. Once again, this is a case by case issue: In Miami right now there are so many vacant luxury condos that owners will rent them out for a fraction of the cost of owning. But few places are so favored. Generally speaking, if you want the best home in the best neighborhood, you're better off buying.
6. It offers some inflation protection. No, it's not perfect. But studies by Professor Karl "Chip" Case (of Case-Shiller), and others, suggest that over the long-term housing has tended to beat inflation by a couple of percentage points a year. That's valuable inflation insurance, especially if you're young and raising a family and thinking about the next 30 or 40 years. In the recent past, inflation-protected government bonds, or TIPS, offered an easier form of inflation insurance. But yields there have plummeted of late. That also makes homeownership look a little better by contrast.
7. It's risk capital. No, your home isn't the stock market and you shouldn't view it as the way to get rich. But if the economy does surprise us all and start booming, sooner or later real estate prices will head up again, too. One lesson from the last few years is that stocks are incredibly hard for most normal people to own in large quantities–for practical as well as psychological reasons. Equity in a home is another way of linking part of your portfolio to the long-term growth of the economy–if it happens–and still managing to sleep at night.
8. It's forced savings. If you can rent an apartment for $2,000 month instead of buying one for $2,400 a month, renting may make sense. But will you save that $400 for your future? A lot of people won't. Most, I dare say. Once again, you have to do your math, but the part of your mortgage payment that goes to principal repayment isn't a cost. You're just paying yourself by building equity. As a forced monthly saving, it's a good discipline.
9. There is a lot to choose from. There is a glut of homes in most of the country. The National Association of Realtors puts the current inventory at around 4 million homes. That's below last year's peak, but well above typical levels, and enough for about a year's worth of sales. More keeping coming onto the market, too, as the banks slowly unload their inventory of unsold properties. That means great choice, as well as great prices.
10. Sooner or later, the market will clear. Demand and supply will meet. The population is forecast to grow by more than 100 million people over the next 40 years. That means maybe 40 million new households looking for homes. Meanwhile, this housing glut will work itself out. Many of the homes will be bought. But many more will simply be destroyed–either deliberately, or by inaction. This is already happening. Even two years ago, when I toured the housing slumpin western Florida, I saw bankrupt condo developments that were fast becoming derelict. And, finally, a lot of the "glut" simply won't matter: It's concentrated in a few areas, like Florida and Nevada. Unless you live there, the glut won't have any long-term impact on housing supply in your town.
Write to Brett Arends at email@example.com
If you are interested in Buying, Selling or Leasing in Miami, please contact Christian Tupper 786-264-2489
Thursday, September 2, 2010
Israelis, Venezuelans buy condos as homes, investments
By Yudislaidy Fernandez
Many of the international buyers scooping up condos in South Florida's top bayfront communities are buying to occupy part-time, brokers say, but many would consider a future sale at a profit.
Where these buyers decide to purchase depends in part to the condominium's location, as some are more attracted to beachfront enclaves like Miami Beach, Sunny Isles Beach and Aventura while others want to be in the center of the action and opt for condos in greater Downtown in areas such as Omni, Brickell and downtown.
At the 66-floor Marquis Residences, one of Miami's tallest buildings at 1100 Biscayne Blvd., many of the foreign buyers are from Brazil, Venezuela, Israel and Italy, said Wendy Marks Pine, sales director for Cervera Real Estate, which handles its sales.
For many of these buyers, she said, "their currency has increased in value, offering great opportunities for them to buy in the Miami market."
For example, "we are seeing a heavy influx of Venezuelan buyers who have been able to allocate funds into US dollars" and are buying condos, Ms. Marks Pine said. "The challenge for those who are in Venezuela is taking the currency out of Venezuela to buy."
Along the Biscayne Boulevard corridor, the cluster of performing arts venues, the neighboring art and design districts, the American Airlines Arena and the many restaurants that have sprung up are attracting Israeli buyers to Marquis, many of whom previously owned residences in North Miami Beach and other areas, said Penni Chasens, a Cervera sales associate.
"Miami is so multicultural it has something for everybody," she said.
About 50% of foreigners are buying in cash and the rest are using a seller financing program Marquis offers, Ms. Marks Pine said, "allocated specifically for buyers who are coming in and need to finance. It's unique to this building. Most buildings don't offer that type of financing, so it's an opportunity to get buyers here."
The 292-unit Marquis has about 200 condos left for sale, with 92 sold or awaiting closing, she said. Lofts and two- and three-bedroom units are selling at discounted prices that range from the $400,000s to $3 million.
"It's a combination of original buyers who closed on residences and new buyers who capitalized on opportunities with the 40% price reduction," she said.
Edgardo Defortuna, president of Fortune International Realty, said at the luxury condominiums he represents, many foreigners are buying for their own use "because they love the product and think it's a great value."
Oceanfront residential towers such as Jade Ocean and Jade Beach in Sunny Isles Beach and ArTech in Aventura are being sold to many Latin Americans and Europeans.
For example at ArTech, where Fortune has 50 units left to sell, buyers are mostly Jewish Latin Americans and locals, Mr. Defortuna said.
At Icon Brickell's Towers 1 and 2, Fortune has sold 170 units, of which about 75% have been sold to international buyers, he said. The same at Jade, home to buyers from 22 nationalities, where foreigners represent 70% of buyers.
Julián La Madrid, a Spanish-born developer based in Guatemala, bought a three-bedroom unit at Icon Brickell's Tower 2 because he liked the property's design and its location.
At first, he was debating whether to buy in Miami Beach or Brickell, but he opted for a bayfront unit on the tower's 35th floor because he liked Brickell's work-and-play lifestyle.
Mr. La Madrid, who develops office buildings and shopping centers in Guatemala, said he also saw value in the area's fast development, as he foresees more retail and restaurants opening up in the future.
"The apartment is for me to use as a second residence, to live between Guatemala and Miami," he said. "It's not focused on investment, but I don't discard that in the future it could become an investment."
Brazilians represent another strong buyer segment right now, followed by Argentines and Venezuelans, Mr. Defortuna said. He added that among the reasons for the latter groups to invest here is safety concerns and political problems affecting those countries.
"The economy in Brazil is doing really well. In Argentina, the economy is also doing well, but they are concerned with the safety situation," he said. "In Venezuela, the politician turmoil and the concern it could get worse has made a lot of Venezuelans have some safety net here in the US, and Miami is the perfect place."
About 62% of foreign buyers purchase condos, 21% single-family homes and another 10% townhomes, according to an international sales survey conducted by the Miami Realtors based on transactions in Miami-Dade from April 2009 to April 2010.
These international buyers are helping condo sales stay strong.
While the re-sales of single-family homes in Miami-Dade dropped 8% in July, condo re-sales rose 43% this July from July 2009 and by 112% from two years ago, according to the realtor association and Southeast Florida Multiple Listing Service.
Many buying today plan to use the condos as a vacation or second home, but some don't discard selling them at a profit some day.
But Mr. Defortuna described these as "solid" investors because more than 70% are paying cash.
"The investors who we saw in the good old days of the boom planned to sell or finance the rest of their purchase because they didn't have the cash to pay upfront," he said. "Also, the ability to rent the unit. If the price is right, the unit gets rented in a short period of time that makes it attractive."
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Friday, March 12, 2010
New life in downtown Miami as condos fill up
Condos in downtown Miami are no longer ghost towns as young professionals move in and drive new business to area stores and restaurants.
BY ELAINE WALKER
Out of the ashes of the downtown Miami condo collapse, a bright spot is emerging: a community of full-time residents slowly starting to turn the area into a 24/7 city.
A new study by the Miami Downtown Development Authority, in partnership with Goodkin Consulting/Focus Real Estate Advisors, has found that 74 percent of the 22,079 urban condominium units built since 2003 are occupied. They stretch from the Brickell district south of downtown Miami north to State Road 112.
This reflects a 20 percent increase over the 62 percent occupancy rate reported in a similar study completed in May 2009 and means the glut of new condos is being absorbed more quickly than expected. Sharp price cuts and a willingness to rent units, rather than sell them in a down market, have paved the way.
Before the real estate bust, young professionals such as Melinda Reilly wouldn't have been able to afford a two-bedroom condo at Met 1 in downtown Miami with its wrap-around balcony and view of Biscayne Bay. But last July she sold her suburban Hollywood house and moved downtown where she is renting.
``It's cheaper than the mortgage on my house and I get more for my money, plus somebody to take care of everything,'' said Reilly, 31, a group sales manager at Doral Golf Resort & Spa. ``It's exciting downtown. It's really social. Whether it's a Tuesday or Saturday, you always find a lot of people out in all the restaurants.''
A wave of new urban residents began arriving last year as developers and lenders got more aggressive about cutting prices to move units. At the same time, individual owners, who bought condos for investments, realized renters could at least generate some revenue to cover hefty mortgages.
For downtown leaders who have been pushing for years to revitalize the area, the condo bust has worked to their advantage.
``In a weird sort of way, it has been good for revitalization,'' said Neisen Kasdin, vice chairman of the Downtown Development Authority. ``It accelerated the revitalization of downtown. Without the overbuilding and the great pool of rental units, downtown would not have been populated to the same extent.''
The DDA study found that 68 percent of the 22,079 new condos in the area have been sold, a 6 percent jump from the May 2009 survey. The average sale price downtown was $300,306, although prices were significantly lower than that in every area of the greater downtown area except Brickell Avenue.
``It's all about affordability,'' said Craig Werley, president and owner of Focus Real Estate Advisors.
``The availability of discounted pricing and good rental values is what's creating this dynamic. It's a dramatic improvement over what might have been and what a lot of folks expected.''
Now, downtown is no longer a ghost town after 5 p.m. or on weekends. It's not uncommon to see people walking their dogs or jogging along Biscayne Boulevard, and young families with baby strollers on Brickell Avenue.
``It's like a little mini-Manhattan,'' said Andreas del Corral, 28, who closed on his unit in Met 1 in May 2008. ``When I first moved in, you would only see a few people here and there. Now, the restaurants and bars are filling up. You see groups of five and 10 people walking up and down Brickell, going out for the night.''
The study shows there are still 7,010 unsold units in the new downtown area condominiums, compared with the 8,000 that existed seven months earlier. The biggest chunk of remaining units -- 51 percent -- are in the Brickell area, followed by 23 percent in the Central Business District.
If occupancy trends continue, the study predicts that downtown Miami's existing condo inventory would effectively be eliminated over the next 25 months.
But Werley and partner Lew Goodkin also caution that this is by no means a sign that the condo real estate crisis is nearing an end.
``For the developers and lenders we've got years ahead of us before we create a real true equilibrium,'' said Goodkin of Goodkin Consulting.
Renters account for about 52 percent of the occupied condo units downtown.
As far as Landy Labadie is concerned, renters are better for business at his downtown restaurant and nightclub. The director of operations for Mia at Biscayne has been ``shocked'' since opening in August with the amount of foot traffic. Mia's business is running about 20 percent over projections.
``Renters are the ones that have the disposable income to go out,'' Labadie said. ``Owners are typically older and they're worried about paying the mortgage, maintenance and insurance.''
As the condo buildings fill up with new residents, it's having an increasingly positive effect on downtown Miami's commercial base. Residents want places to eat, drink and shop.
The number of retail businesses in downtown Miami grew by 42 in 2009, according to the DDA. That marked the third straight year the district has seen 40 or more net new openings. Since 2005, 152 new retailers have opened downtown. And the growth comes amid an economic downturn that has seen retail contract across the country.
A recent Integra Realty Resources survey of the 50 largest markets in the U.S. found that downtown Miami's retail vacancy rate of 5.06 percent is among the five lowest in the nation. That's a big drop from mid-2008, when the vacancy rate climbed as high as 12.5 percent, according to CoStar Group.
``I think people are looking to downtown in terms of leading the way for economic recovery,'' said Leo Zabezhinsky, manager of business development and real estate for the DDA.
One of the newest retail arrivals downtown is New York Bagel Deli, which opened about three weeks ago. Already owner Evan Steinman has had to add more employees for the busy lunch hour and extend his closing time to 6 p.m.
``Business is a lot better than we thought, without even advertising or telling people that we're there,'' Steinman said.
AT Ecco Pizzateca + Lounge, weekend crowds have grown over the last year to about 100 each night with a steady crowd of regulars, owner Brian Basti said.
``People are getting more accustomed to their surroundings and venturing out of their condos,'' he said.
``It's still dead some nights, but right now it's really on the verge of turning the corner.''
Even downtown veterans such as retailer La Epoca see the impact of the new residents. La Epoca's sales are up more than 25 percent so far this year.
``I see new people coming in and introducing themselves every week,'' owner Tony Alonso said. ``It's definitely moving in the right direction. I'm a merchant. . . . I want more.''