Friday, March 12, 2010




MIAMI

New life in downtown Miami as condos fill up

Condos in downtown Miami are no longer ghost towns as young professionals move in and drive new business to area stores and restaurants.

BY ELAINE WALKER

EWALKER@MIAMIHERALD.COM

Out of the ashes of the downtown Miami condo collapse, a bright spot is emerging: a community of full-time residents slowly starting to turn the area into a 24/7 city.

A new study by the Miami Downtown Development Authority, in partnership with Goodkin Consulting/Focus Real Estate Advisors, has found that 74 percent of the 22,079 urban condominium units built since 2003 are occupied. They stretch from the Brickell district south of downtown Miami north to State Road 112.

This reflects a 20 percent increase over the 62 percent occupancy rate reported in a similar study completed in May 2009 and means the glut of new condos is being absorbed more quickly than expected. Sharp price cuts and a willingness to rent units, rather than sell them in a down market, have paved the way.

Before the real estate bust, young professionals such as Melinda Reilly wouldn't have been able to afford a two-bedroom condo at Met 1 in downtown Miami with its wrap-around balcony and view of Biscayne Bay. But last July she sold her suburban Hollywood house and moved downtown where she is renting.

``It's cheaper than the mortgage on my house and I get more for my money, plus somebody to take care of everything,'' said Reilly, 31, a group sales manager at Doral Golf Resort & Spa. ``It's exciting downtown. It's really social. Whether it's a Tuesday or Saturday, you always find a lot of people out in all the restaurants.''

A wave of new urban residents began arriving last year as developers and lenders got more aggressive about cutting prices to move units. At the same time, individual owners, who bought condos for investments, realized renters could at least generate some revenue to cover hefty mortgages.

For downtown leaders who have been pushing for years to revitalize the area, the condo bust has worked to their advantage.

``In a weird sort of way, it has been good for revitalization,'' said Neisen Kasdin, vice chairman of the Downtown Development Authority. ``It accelerated the revitalization of downtown. Without the overbuilding and the great pool of rental units, downtown would not have been populated to the same extent.''

The DDA study found that 68 percent of the 22,079 new condos in the area have been sold, a 6 percent jump from the May 2009 survey. The average sale price downtown was $300,306, although prices were significantly lower than that in every area of the greater downtown area except Brickell Avenue.

``It's all about affordability,'' said Craig Werley, president and owner of Focus Real Estate Advisors.

``The availability of discounted pricing and good rental values is what's creating this dynamic. It's a dramatic improvement over what might have been and what a lot of folks expected.''

Now, downtown is no longer a ghost town after 5 p.m. or on weekends. It's not uncommon to see people walking their dogs or jogging along Biscayne Boulevard, and young families with baby strollers on Brickell Avenue.

``It's like a little mini-Manhattan,'' said Andreas del Corral, 28, who closed on his unit in Met 1 in May 2008. ``When I first moved in, you would only see a few people here and there. Now, the restaurants and bars are filling up. You see groups of five and 10 people walking up and down Brickell, going out for the night.''

The study shows there are still 7,010 unsold units in the new downtown area condominiums, compared with the 8,000 that existed seven months earlier. The biggest chunk of remaining units -- 51 percent -- are in the Brickell area, followed by 23 percent in the Central Business District.

If occupancy trends continue, the study predicts that downtown Miami's existing condo inventory would effectively be eliminated over the next 25 months.

But Werley and partner Lew Goodkin also caution that this is by no means a sign that the condo real estate crisis is nearing an end.

``For the developers and lenders we've got years ahead of us before we create a real true equilibrium,'' said Goodkin of Goodkin Consulting.

Renters account for about 52 percent of the occupied condo units downtown.

As far as Landy Labadie is concerned, renters are better for business at his downtown restaurant and nightclub. The director of operations for Mia at Biscayne has been ``shocked'' since opening in August with the amount of foot traffic. Mia's business is running about 20 percent over projections.

``Renters are the ones that have the disposable income to go out,'' Labadie said. ``Owners are typically older and they're worried about paying the mortgage, maintenance and insurance.''

As the condo buildings fill up with new residents, it's having an increasingly positive effect on downtown Miami's commercial base. Residents want places to eat, drink and shop.

The number of retail businesses in downtown Miami grew by 42 in 2009, according to the DDA. That marked the third straight year the district has seen 40 or more net new openings. Since 2005, 152 new retailers have opened downtown. And the growth comes amid an economic downturn that has seen retail contract across the country.

A recent Integra Realty Resources survey of the 50 largest markets in the U.S. found that downtown Miami's retail vacancy rate of 5.06 percent is among the five lowest in the nation. That's a big drop from mid-2008, when the vacancy rate climbed as high as 12.5 percent, according to CoStar Group.

``I think people are looking to downtown in terms of leading the way for economic recovery,'' said Leo Zabezhinsky, manager of business development and real estate for the DDA.

One of the newest retail arrivals downtown is New York Bagel Deli, which opened about three weeks ago. Already owner Evan Steinman has had to add more employees for the busy lunch hour and extend his closing time to 6 p.m.

``Business is a lot better than we thought, without even advertising or telling people that we're there,'' Steinman said.

AT Ecco Pizzateca + Lounge, weekend crowds have grown over the last year to about 100 each night with a steady crowd of regulars, owner Brian Basti said.

``People are getting more accustomed to their surroundings and venturing out of their condos,'' he said.

``It's still dead some nights, but right now it's really on the verge of turning the corner.''

Even downtown veterans such as retailer La Epoca see the impact of the new residents. La Epoca's sales are up more than 25 percent so far this year.

``I see new people coming in and introducing themselves every week,'' owner Tony Alonso said. ``It's definitely moving in the right direction. I'm a merchant. . . . I want more.''

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Miami Condo Project Acts as Test Case

MIAMI—The three-tower Icon Brickell condominium project is turning into a test case for how lenders should deal with distressed real estate.

As they acquire control of more condo towers in Miami and other cities, banks face a dilemma: Should they sell whole buildings or large blocks of condos to big investors looking to acquire property on the cheap? Or sell condos one by one to individuals?

Bloomberg News

DISTRESS TEST: Lenders for the Icon Brickell condominium towers in Miami are selling single units one by one, instead of using large block sales to big investors, often at steep discounts, Will their strategy pay off?

Selling in bulk brings cash in quickly and avoids the risk that prices will keep falling. But investors interested in bulk purchases insist on steep discounts from the prices buyers of single units would be expected to pay.

In the case of Icon Brickell, which features a 100-yard-long pool on a deck with Japanese blueberry trees and whose early residents include the singer Jennifer Lopez, lenders led by HSBC Holdings PLC, which effectively control the project since the developer ran into trouble over debt payments, have opted to sell more than 1,600 remaining condo units one by one. They are counting on lots of demand from Latin Americans able to pay cash and eager for a prestigious address in Miami. And they believe they can get a better price selling "retail" to end users rather than "wholesale" to investors, even if it means they must hold and manage the properties longer.

"The distress opportunities may not be as great as we all expected" because banks aren't being forced to sell huge quantities of condos in a hurry, said Manuel de Zárraga, executive managing director at Holliday Fenoglio Fowler LP, which advises real-estate developers and investors.

That is partly because federal regulators have given banks some slack: In October, regulators issued guidelines that let banks keep loans on their books as "performing" even if the values of the underlying properties have fallen below the loan amount.

The Icon Brickell will be competing for buyers with a group of investors led by Starwood Capital Group that has become the largest player in the Miami condo market. That group in October bought control of 14 condo buildings in Miami, Fort Lauderdale and Palm Beach, among other real estate, in a $2.77 billion purchase of construction loans made by Corus Bank of Chicago before regulators shut it down in September.

Reuters

The Icon Brickell in Miami. Lenders have opted to sell more than 1,600 remaining condo units one by one.

Starwood Capital has indicated that it isn't planning to dump its property back on the market.

"In many cases, the best option will indeed be to be a long-term hold as there were many attractive properties in the Corus portfolio," a Starwood spokesman said.

But the slow-sell strategy could backfire if prices keep falling.

Peter Zalewski, the owner of Condo Vultures Realty LLC in Miami, said lenders would be better off arranging a sale of one or two of the three Icon Brickell towers to investors. He believes that it will take too long, perhaps several years, to sell the units to individual buyers. Meanwhile, the lenders will have to cover tax and maintenance costs.

Condo supply remains in a glut. In Miami-Dade County, 16,665 units were listed for sale at the end of November, or enough to last 18 months at the recent sales rate, according to Esslinger-Wooten-Maxwell Inc., or EWM, a real-estate brokerage in Miami. Still, that is down from a peak of 24,905 listings in May 2008. About a quarter of the condo listings are priced at $100,000 or less, a price category that barely existed three years ago.

"Miami is 50% off," said Ron Shuffield, president of EWM. "It's just like having a sale at Macy's."

If priced low enough, properties can move. Units at the 46-story building called Brickell on the River South sold out quickly after the developer, Groupe Pacific, cut prices last spring to a range of $175 to $225 per square foot from $325 a square foot in 2008, said Scott Wadler, an analyst at Holliday Fenoglio Fowler.

But whether sales will go quickly at more expensive buildings, such as the Icon Brickell, remains unclear. The Icon Brickell is the marquee project of Related Group, a Miami condo developer. Related has invested about $1 billion in the three towers, including $15 million for giant statues of heads that resemble those on Easter Island, according to the closely held company's chairman, Jorge Perez. In a recent interview, Mr. Perez said loans secured by the three buildings total about $700 million.

Most of the Icon Brickell was completed in 2008 and 2009. So far, 117 purchases have been completed. The average price was cut in October to $419 per square foot from a peak of about $650. A typical two-bedroom unit now would cost about $550,000.

Mr. Zalewski, of Condo Vultures, said prices at Icon Brickell will have to come down further if the units are to be sold quickly. He said the typical market price in the neighborhood is now $200 to $215 per square foot, and Icon's cachet can't support more than a 35% premium to that.

Write to James R. Hagerty at bob.hagerty@wsj.com

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Icon Brickell Releases Condos at 30% Discount


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